West Virginia vs. Kansas Pick
After being embarrassed in Morgantown earlier this year, will No. 3 Kansas get revenge on No. 13 West Virginia when the two meet tonight at 9PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, Kansas is favored at home tonight, as the Jayhawks are getting odds of -4.5 points against West Virginia. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 157.5 points. These two met at WVU back on Jan. 24 and West Virginia picked up an impressive 85-69 victory. WVU has covered in five of its last seven meetings with the Jayhawks.
West Virginia comes into tonight on a two-game winning streak, including an 85-66 win over Kansas State this weekend. The Mountaineers are now 20-5 on the season and 8-4 in the Big 12. They also sit 11-9 against the spread this season with a 6-4 mark on the road. WVU has a strong offense that averages 86 points per game while the defense only allows 65.8 per contest. However, the WVU offense takes a step back on the road, averaging just 75.6 points per game. Jevon Carter and Esa Ahmad are each averaging 11 points and 4 rebounds per game to lead the team while Nathan Adrian is adding 10.8 points and 6.4 boards.
Kansas is coming off an 80-79 win at Texas Tech this weekend, but the Jayhawks were a 4.5-point favorite. Kansas is 22-3 on the season and 10-2 in the Big 12, but it really struggles to cover. On the season Kansas is just 7-15-1 ATS and they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games. The Jayhawks average 83.5 points per game on offense while allowing 72.1 on defense. At home, the offensive average improves to 88.2 per game. Frank Mason III is averaging 20.1 points and 4.9 assists per game to lead the team while Josh Jackson is adding 16.6 points and 7 rebounds per game.
The spread here seems awfully small for Kansas playing at home, but the Jayhawks have just been burning too many bettors all season. Kansas is only 2.8 against the spread at home and have failed to cover in four straight on their home floor. While the WVU offensive numbers take a step back on the road, the Mountaineers have a winning record against the spread away from home. They clearly were able to expose Kansas in the first meeting and think they can take advantage of similar matchups in this game.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL DAILY PREDICTION: WEST VIRGINIA +4.5