Miami vs. Louisville Pick
Who has the edge to cover when No. 4 Louisville hosts Miami today at 2PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, Louisville is the clear favorite at home, as the Cardinals are getting odds of -10.5 points against Miami. The over/under total for the game is listed at 132.5 points. Louisville has won four of the last five in this series, but the Hurricanes have covered the spread in the last two meetings.
Louisville is coming off a sizable 71-55 loss at Virginia this week to snap a three-game winning streak. The Cardinals are now 19-5 overall and 7-4 in the ACC. The loss also was its first failure to push or cover in seven games. The Cardinals sit 15-6-1 against the spread on the season, including 10-2 ATS at home. Louisville averages 77.5 points per game on offense while giving up 62.7 on defense. Louisville had some suspensions in place during the loss to Virginia, but those should end today. Donovan Mitchell is the team leader with 15 points per game while Quentin Snider adds 12.1 per game. He has been dealing with a hip injury, but is probable to play.
Miami has won two straight and four of its last five to improve to 16-7 overall and 6-5 in the ACC. The Hurricanes are just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 and now sit 6-15 against the spread on the season. Miami averages 72.7 points per game on offense while giving up 64.2 on defense. On the road, the Canes are allowing 69.5 per game. Miami is led by Davon Reed, who averages 15.9 points per game while Ja’Quan Newton adds 15 points per contest.
Louisville is coming off a bad loss to Virginia, but the Cardinals were lacking in some of their top talent. The Cardinals are at full health today against a Miami team that has struggled to cover. I expect Louisville to make a statement today, especially after the sizable loss. The Cardinals shouldn’t have much trouble handling Miami.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL DAILY PREDICTION: LOUISVILLE -10.5