Mississippi State vs. Alabama Prediction
Can No. 22 Mississippi State pick up a needed road win when they take on Alabama tonight at 8:30PM ET in SEC play?
629 Mississippi State vs. 630 Alabama
Tuesday, January 29, 2019
8:30PM ET – Coleman Coliseum
TV: SEC Network
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, Alabama is the slight favorite at home, as the Crimson Tide are getting odds of -1.5 points against Mississippi State. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 146.5 points. The public betting currently has 76 percent going on Alabama at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Basketball Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Mississippi State looking for consistency
The Mississippi State basketball team is just 3-3 in SEC play and looking to secure a little momentum tonight after a 92-84 win at home over Auburn. The Bulldogs have won three of their last four but are just 2-4 against the spread in their last six. Mississippi State is 15-4 on the season, 2-2 on the road, 9-10 against the spread and 10-9 with the over.
The Bulldogs have been steady on offense all season, averaging 78.4 points per game while shooting 47.3 percent. Defensively, Mississippi State is giving up 69.4 points per game while opponents shoot 43.1 percent against them. Quinndary Weatherspoon is leading the team with 17.3 points and 5.6 rebounds per game while Lamar Peters is adding 13.0 points and 5.9 assists per contest.
Alabama hoping to bounce back
The Crimson Tide are coming off a 73-68 loss at Baylor on Saturday for their fourth loss in six games. The loss snapped a three-game cover streak as well. Alabama is now 12-7 on the season, 3-3 in the SEC, 7-2 at home, 8-10-1 against the spread and 12-6 with the over.
Alabama is averaging 75.5 points per game on offense this season while giving up 71.4 points per game on defense. Kira Lewis Jr. has been leading the team this season with 13.9 points per game while Donta Hall is adding 11.3 points and 8.9 rebounds per game for the Crimson Tide.
College Basketball Betting Trends
The Bulldogs are 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 road games, but just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 SEC games.
Alabama is 7-3 against the spread in its last 10 SEC games and 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine games following a loss.
These two haven’t met this season, but Alabama has covered in seven of the last nine in this series. The Bulldogs have really struggled on the road, averaging just 68.2 points, which is well below their average. Bama is putting up just under 78 points per game at home and their defense has played pretty consistently at home. I like the makeup of Mississippi State, but I need to see the Bulldogs win on the road consistently before I feel good about picking them to cover on the road again.
College Basketball Prediction: Alabama -1.5