Texas Tech vs. Baylor Pick
Will No. 5 Baylor have any trouble when it plays host to Texas Tech tonight at 8PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, Baylor is favored at home, as the Bears are getting odds of -9.5 points against Texas Tech. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 131 points. Baylor has won four of the last five in this series, but the Red Raiders are 3-1 against the spread in the last four against Baylor.
Baylor has won three straight in coming into tonight, including a 62-53 win at TCU. The Bears are 18-1 overall and 6-1 in the Big 12. Baylor is just 2-4 against the spread in its last six and 9-5 ATS on the season. Baylor is averaging 73.9 points per game on offense while allowing just 60.8 on defense. Johnathan Motley is averaging 15.7 points and 9.6 rebounds per game to lead the team while Manu Lecomte is averaging 12.2 points and 4.4 assists per contest.
Texas Tech is coming off an 83-64 loss against Oklahoma State to drop to 14-5 overall and 3-4 in the Big 12. The Red Raiders are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games and are now 7-8 ATS on the season. Texas Tech is averaging 77.1 points per game on offense while giving up 65.4 per game on defense. However, on the road, Tech is putting up just 69.5 points on offense and giving up 76. Keenan Evans is averaging 14.4 points per contest to lead the team while Zach Smith is averaging 13.1 points and 7.5 rebounds per contest.
Baylor has had some struggles at home this season, but Texas Tech is a very poor road team. The Bears should be able to overwhelm them with their defense while finding some transition offense. I don’t think the Red Raiders’ numbers on the road are a fluke, they just don’t bring their best away from home.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL DAILY PREDICTION: BAYLOR -9.5