MSU vs. Wisconsin Free Pick
Last game: (3/10/12). MICHIGAN STATE (-4) over Wisconsin, 65-52. This is always a very physical, tough matchup. The Spartans (5-1 Big 10) are playing well, coming off five straight wins. They defeated Ohio State at home, 59-56, giving 3 on Saturday, Wisconsin (4-1 Big 10) is coming off a 70-66 road loss on Saturday, giving 1. Wisconsin needs a better game from top guard Trevon Jackson, who went 1-for-10 against Iowa. Michigan State visits the Kohl Center in Madison to take on the Wisconsin Badgers at 7pmET.
ODDS: Oddsmakers have installed Wisconsin as a 5.5-point favorite over Michigan State for tonight’s game, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 123 points. The Spartans enter tonight’s game with a 16-3 overall record and is 3-2 on the road, while the Badgers are 13-5 overall and 10-1 at home.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Badgers opened as a 4.5-point favorite but the line has been bet up to 5.5 at most sports books. As for the total, it opened at 123 and has stayed at that number.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers placed on tonight’s game, 76% of college basketball public bettors currently favor Michigan State. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date public betting numbers.
NCAA FREE PICK: Take Wisconsin. According to latest college basketball trends, Spartans are 16-35-2 ATS in their last 53 Tuesday games, 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win. Wisconsin is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Home team is 13-4 ATS in the last 17 meetings and favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
Wisconsin doesn't win pretty, but they usually win at home. They've won seven straight games, while Michigan State has won five straight. The Spartans had been outscored by an average of 13.4 points during an eight-game skid at the Kohl Center before escaping with a 63-60 overtime win last Jan. 3. Michigan State went on to beat Wisconsin 69-55 at the Breslin Center and 65-52 in last season's conference tournament, but the Badgers have to be feeling good about getting back in front of their home crowd. Coach Bo Ryan's team has outscored opponents by an average of 24.4 points during its run at home, most recently cruising to a 74-51 rout of then-No. 12 Illinois on Jan. 12. Wisconsin beat the Hoosiers 64-59 in Bloomington last Tuesday but couldn't keep up Saturday in a 70-66 loss at Iowa. Seniors Jared Berggren and Ryan Evans, averaging a combined 23.9 points, totaled 14 as the Badgers' starting five scored just 31. Freshman George Marshall proved to be a bright spot, posting a season-high 20 points in 15 minutes off the bench. Wisconsin has taken 12 of 15 home matchups against Top 25 opponents, though each of those losses came last season. Expect the Badgers to bounce back and come through with the cover.
NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: WISCONSIN BADGERS -5.5