Miami vs. Duke Prediction & Odds

Miami vs. Duke 1/21/23 CBB Betting Prediction, Odds, & Trends

Number seventeen Miami heads to Durham to play unranked Duke at 12:00 PM ET Saturday afternoon on ESPN. Can the Hurricanes cover the 5.5-point spread as road underdogs?

Miami is 15-3 on the year with their best wins coming over NC State and Virginia. Their worst losses came against Maryland and Georgia Tech. The Hurricanes are 10-8 against the spread this season.

Duke is 13-5 this season with their best wins coming over Ohio State and Iowa. Their worst losses came against Wake Forest and NC State. The Blue Devils are 7-11 against the spread this year.

Game Matchup and Betting Odds

605 Miami Hurricanes (+5.5) vs. 606 Duke Blue Devils (-5.5); O/U 148.5

12:00 PM ET, Saturday, January 21, 2023

Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC

Miami vs. Duke Public Betting Information

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Hurricanes in this contest. Our public betting data illustrates that 75% of public bets are on Miami +5.5. Do note that these numbers are subject to change and could be different once tipoff rolls around, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Miami Game Notes

One of Miami’s most important players is senior guard Jordan Miller. The 6’7” Virginia native is second on the team in scoring with 14.8 points per game and second on the club in rebounding with 5.7 boards per game. What’s more, Miller is shooting an efficient 52.1% from the field this season and a stellar 80.7% from the free throw line.

The Hurricanes’ leading rebounder is sophomore forward Norchad Omier. The 6’7” Nicaragua native is averaging a double-double this season with 14 points and 10.2 rebounds per contest. Miami will likely need significant contributions from Miller and Omier to cover on the road Saturday. 

Duke Game Notes

The big story for duke is the injury status of junior guard Jeremy Roach. Roach has missed the Blue Devils’ last three games with a toe injury, and he’s officially listed as questionable for Saturday’s tilt with the Hurricanes. Roach is second on the club in scoring with 11.9 points per game and leads the team in assists with 3.2 per game.

Duke’s leading scorer and rebounder is freshman center Kyle Filipowski. Filipowski has posted 14.9 points and 9.2 rebounds per game for the Blue Devils this season while shooting a lackluster 42.4% from the floor this year. He’ll need to step up if Jeremy Roach is limited or unable to play against Miami this weekend. 

Miami vs. Duke CBB Betting Trends

Duke is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an outright loss.

The under is 8-2 in Miami’s last 10 road games.

The under is 5-1 in Miami’s last 6 games following an ATS loss.

Miami vs. Duke CBB Prediction:

This line seemed almost too easy. Miami is 15-3, ranked 17th in the country, and they're getting 5.5 points in a game against a Duke team that is 13-5 and unranked. To me, it’s not that simple. Duke has been a great home team all year. The Blue Devils are 9-0 in games at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Miami is only 3-2 on the road and their only road wins came over UCF, Louisville, and Notre Dame. As a team, Duke can really rebound, as they rank 4th in the country in team rebound rate. Conversely, Miami ranks 130th in rebound rate among 363 Division I teams. I think Duke rights the ship on Saturday afternoon at home and wins this game by two possessions or more.  


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