Spurs vs. Rockets Prediction

Will the Spurs cover as small underdog vs. Rockets on Tuesday? 12/20/16

The Spurs are a rare underdog tonight against the Rockets at 8:00PM ET. Is San Antonio worth a play for bettors?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Rockets are 1-point home favorites versus the Spurs while the over/under currently sits at 213.5 points. Both the side and the total have moved off the original numbers, as Houston went from -2.5 to -1, while the total opened at 211.5 before jumping two full points at the majority of sports books.

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SPURS KEY TRENDS: The Spurs are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and are 4-0 in their last four games overall. They're also 4-1 against the number in their last five games following a win and have covered in four of their last five games when their last five games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous contest.

ROCKETS KEY TRENDS: Houston has covered in eight straight following an ATS loss and are 13-3 at the betting window in its last 16 games when facing Western Conference opponents. The Rockets have also covered in four of their last five home games and are 14-5 at the betting window in their last 19 games overall.

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OUR PREDICTION: I'm well aware of the Rockets' ATS record of late but I'm going to simply things: The Spurs are an underdog. The only other time they were an underdog this season they blasted the Warriors by 29 points in their season-opener when they were an 8.5-point dog. They haven't always been a great underdog play (they were just 2-7 against the spread last season as a dog), but I like them here. They're 4-1 against the spread in their lat five games versus the Rockets and it looks like LaMarcus Aldridge might be ready to break out of his slump after scoring 22 points against the Pelicans for his first 20-point performance this month.

 

TUESDAY NBA PREDICTION: SAN ANTONIO SPURS +1

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