Nuggets vs. Clippers Prediction
Are the Clippers a safe bet as a heavy favorite tonight when they host the Nuggets at 10:30PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Clippers are 9-point home favorites versus the Nuggets while the total opened at 213.5 but has jumped to 216.5. In fact, both the side and the total moved off the original numbers, as Los Angeles opened at -7 before jumping to -9.
NUGGETS KEY TRENDS: The Nuggets have covered in four of the last five games overall and are 4-1 at the betting window in their last five road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. They're also 5-2 against the spread in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record but they're just 2-5 against the number in their last seven games a team with a winning percentage above .600.
CLIPPERS KEY TRENDS: The Clippers are 10-4 against the spread in their last 14 home games versus a team with a losing road record but has otherwise been crap for bettors. They're 1-6 against the spread in their last seven home games, are 0-4 against the number in their last four games overall, and are 0-6 at the betting window in their last six games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
OUR PREDICTION: The road team is 5-1 against the spread in the last six meetings between these two teams while the Clippers are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. L.A. also took a blow when it was announced that Blake Griffin needs arthorscopic surgery on his right knee and will be sidelined three to six weeks. Lay nine points on the Clippers with Griffin in the lineup? Sure. Lay nine points on a Griffin-less Clippers team that is taking on a Nuggets team that has been a decent bet of late? I'll pass.
TUESDAY NBA PREDICTION: DENVER NUGGETS +9