Rockets vs. Timberwolves Prediction
Are the Timberwolves a good bet to cover as a home underdog tonight when they host the Rockets at 8:00PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Timberwolves are 4.5-point home underdogs versus the Rockets after opening as a 5.5-point dog. As for the total, the number hit the board at 222 but has been bet all the way down at 219.5 at most sports books.
ROCKETS KEY TRENDS: Houston has covered in 12 of its last 14 road games and is a perfect 5-0 against the number in its last five games when playing on no rest. The Rockets are also 14-3 against the number in their last 17 games versus Western Conference competition and are 13-3 at the betting window in their last 16 games when playing a team with a losing record.
TIMBERWOLVES KEY TRENDS: Minnesota is just 19-41-1 against the spread in its last 61 home games and has failed to cover in 10 of its last 14 games when playing a team with a winning record. The T-Wolves are also just 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games coming off an ATS win and haven't covered in seven of their last eight games coming off a victory.
OUR PREDICTION: This should be easy money for the Rockets, who have covered the spread in 12 of their last 16 games in Minnesota. The road team is also a perfect 4-0 at the betting window in the last four meetings between these two teams while the Rockets are 21-7 against the spread in their last 28 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Bettors like to fade teams when playing on back-to-back nights but the Rockets are a perfect 4-0 in the second game of a back-to-back so fatigue shouldn't be a concern for Houston backers tonight.
SATURDAY NBA PREDICTION: HOUSTON ROCKETS -4.5