Spurs vs. Suns Prediction
Will the Spurs roll as a road favorite tonight when they take on the Suns at 9:00PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Suns are 7.5-point home underdogs versus the Spurs after opening as an 8-point dog earlier this morning. As for the total, the number hit the board at 209 but has been bet up to 210 at the majority of online and Vegas sports books.
SPURS KEY TRENDS: The Spurs have covered the number in five of their last seven games when playing on no rest. They're also 11-5-1 at the betting window in their last 17 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. That said, they're just 5-11-1 against the number in their last 17 games versus Pacific Division opponents and are 3-14-1 against the spread in their last 18 games playing on Thursday.
SUNS KEY TRENDS: The Suns are a perfect 5-0 against the spread in their last five home games versus an opponent with a winning road record and are an impressive 13-3-1 at the betting window in their last 17 games when playing an opponent with a winning record. They've been solid coming off one day of rest as well, covering in 23 of their last 32 games in that situation.
OUR PREDICTION: I like the Suns to hang with the Spurs tonight, especially with San Antonio playing on tired legs having beaten Boston last night in Texas. The Suns are 5-2 against the spread this season as a home underdog, losing by an average margin of just 2.9 points per game. The Suns have also stepped up at the betting window when facing quality opponents, going 6-2 against the number in their last eight games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. This looks like a good opportunity to back the home dog and fade a Spurs team playing on back-to-back nights.
THURSDAY NBA PREDICTION: PHOENIX SUNS +7.5