Mavericks vs. Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets played .500 ball over their last 10 games but are still laying 4.5 points as a home favorite on Tuesday night against the Mavericks at 10:00 p.m. ET. Is Denver a wise play or is there a better option when it comes to this Western Conference matchup?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
551 Dallas Mavericks (+4.5) at 552 Denver Nuggets (-4.5); o/u 223
10:00 p.m. ET, Tuesday, December 6, 2022
Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Public Betting Information
Our NBA Public Betting Information page indicates that 53% of public bettors are currently backing the Mavericks when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Dallas Mavericks DFS Spin
Luka Doncic filled up the stat sheet on Saturday, finishing with 30 points (11-for-21 FGs), eight rebounds, seven assists, one steal, three blocks and four triples in just 29 minutes in a 121-100 win over New York on Saturday. Add in the 4-for-4 shooting from the line, and this was about as good as things gets for Luka. Sure he’s capable of bigger numbers, but the defensive numbers, free throw shooting and extra triples don’t usually happen all at once. The free throws have been really bad for him lately, so it was nice to see him have a perfect night. If he can get his percentage up, he’ll be the dominant fantasy asset that he’s talented enough to be.
Denver Nuggets DFS Spin
Nikola Jokic tallied 32 points (13-of-19 FGs, 5-of-9 FTs), 16 rebounds, eight assists, two steals, one block, and one 3-pointer in Sunday’s 121-106 loss to the Pelicans. Jokic recorded his 15th double-double of the season, with Sunday’s being his first of the 30/15 variety. While the two-time MVP did his usual work, the Nuggets’ struggles on the defensive end of the floor were too much to overcome. Jokic is providing top-10 value in 9-cat formats, despite the Nuggets having to deal with injuries to Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr. (who’s still out), and Aaron Gordon. Even if the Joker has an off night shooting the basketball, opposing teams can’t stop him because of all he brings to the game.
Mavericks vs. Nuggets NBA Betting Trends
Over is 7-1 in Mavericks last 8 games playing on 0 days rest
Over is 7-0 in Mavericks last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600
Under is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 home games
Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
Mavericks vs. Nuggets NBA Prediction:
The Mavericks have covered in four of their last five games in Denver, but are 7-19-1 against the spread in their last 27 games overall, are 1-6 against the number in their last seven road games and are 0-3-1 at the betting window in their last four games playing on zero rest. They’ve also dropped seven of their last 10 games at the betting window when facing an opponent with a winning percentage above .600 and are 2-10 against the spread in their last 12 games when facing an opponent with a winning record. On the other side, the Nuggets have covered in five of their last seven home games.
NBA BETTING PREDICTION: DENVER NUGGETS -4.5