Spurs vs. Bucks Prediction

NBA Picks: Will Spurs cover as a road favorite vs. Bucks? 12/5/16

Will the Spurs cover as a road favorite when they visit the Bucks at 8:00PM ET tonight?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Bucks are a 6.5-point home underdog versus the Spurs after opening as a 5.5-point dog earlier in the week. As for the total, the number currently sits at 205.5 after opening as low as 201 at some sports books.

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SPURS KEY TRENDS: The Spurs are 7-3-1 against the spread in their last 11 road games but are just 2-5 against the number in their last seven games overall. They're also 1-5 against the spread in their last six games playing on two days of rest and are 1-7 against the number in their last eight games played on Monday night.

BUCKS KEY TRENDS: The Bucks are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. They're also 8-2 at the betting window in their last 10 games playing on one day of rest, are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games versus Western Conference foes, but are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after failing to cover in their previous game.

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OUR PREDICTION: The Spurs are one of the best teams in the league when playing on the road as a favorite. Their ATS record in those situations is 6-3-1 and they won by an average margin of 7.9 points in those 10 games. They've also been a solid road team in general, going 7-3-1 against the spread in their 11 road games this season and winning by an average margin of 9.8 points during those games. With Kawhi Leonard (24.3 points, six rebounds, three assists this season) playing extremely well, I like the Spurs to roll tonight in Milwaukee.

 

MONDAY NBA PREDICTION: SAN ANTONIO SPURS -6.5

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