Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction

Spurs vs. Mavericks Picks: Will San Antonio rebound off a loss? 11/30/16

Following their surprising loss to the Magic last night, will the Spurs rebound with a win and a cover against the Mavericks at 8:30PM ET tonight?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Mavericks are now 9.5-point home underdogs versus the Spurs after opening as a 10-point dog this morning. As for the total, the number hit the board at 192 and has been bet down to 189.5.

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SPURS KEY TRENDS: The Spurs are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games playing on no rest and are 7-2-1 against the number in their last 10 road games. They're also 20-9 at the betting window in their last 29 games following a loss and are 13-6 against the spread in their last 19 games against Southwest opponents, but are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home.

MAVERICKS KEY TRENDS: The Mavericks are just 2-7 against the spread in their last nine home games, are 2-7 against the number in their last nine games overall, and are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games following a straight up win. They're also winless at 0-8 against the spread in their last eight home games versus a team with a winning road record and are 1-4 ATS in their last five games coming off a straight up win.

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OUR PREDICTION: I faded the Spurs last night as a double-digit home favorite against the Magic and I'm going to do it again tonight. The underdog is 14-4 against the spread in the last 18 meetings between these two teams and the Spurs are winless against the number in their last four games against opponents with a winning percentage below .400. Bettors are going to jump on the Spurs coming off a loss but the spread still feels inflated. San Antonio is 6-2-1 against the spread as a road favorite this year but the Spurs won by an average margin of 8.0 points per game in those nine contests. Dallas, meanwhile, is 1-4 against the spread in its five games as a home dog, losing by an average margin of 8.8 points per contest. It'll be close, but bet the spread back up to 10 and the Mavs should cover.

 

WEDNESDAY NBA PREDICTION: DALLAS MAVERICKS +10

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