Hawks vs. Heat Prediction

Hawks should win Tuesday night vs. Heat but will Atlanta cover? 11/15/16

The Hawks are a sizable favorite tonight in Miami and should beat the Heat, but will they cover at 7:30PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Heat are 6.5-point home underdogs versus the Hawks while the over/under sits at 200 after opening at 199.5. Atlanta is 7-2 overall and 2-1 on the road, while Miami is 2-7 overall and 1-4 at home.

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HAWKS KEY TRENDS: The Hawks have covered in four straight games and are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games coming off an ATS win. They’re also 6-2 at the betting window in their last eight games playing on two days rest but are jus t3-9 against the spread in their last 12 road games. They’ve also failed to cover in seven of 10 versus Southeast opponents.

HEAT KEY TRENDS: The Heat are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games overall and are 1-4 against the number in their last five games versus Eastern Conference foes. They’re also winless at 0-5 at the betting window in their last five games playing on back-to-back nights and are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games following an ATS win.

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OUR PREDICTION: The Hawks are 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five games in Miami and are 7-3-1 against the number in their last 11 games versus the Heat overall. Despite going 3-1 against the Hawks last season they’ll struggle tonight. Paul Millsap is averaging 16.7 points per game while Dennis Schroder is averaging 16.3 points and a team-high 6.2 assists. Atlanta has an advantage in points per game, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and rebounding, plus they have a deeper bench. Lay the points.

 

TUESDAY NBA FREE PICK: ATLANTA HAWKS -6.5

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