Heat vs. Spurs Prediction
The San Antonio Spurs are heavily favored at home tonight when they host the Miami Heat at 8:30PM ET. Can the Spurs cover the lofty spread?
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Spurs are favored at home tonight, as they are getting odds of -12 points against the Miami Heat. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 190 points. The Spurs have won and covered the spread in eight straight meetings with Miami, including two as a double-digit favorite.
San Antonio has won back-to-back games to get to 7-3 on the season. The Spurs are also 6-3-1 against the spread on the season, but just 2-3 ATS at home. The Spurs are averaging 101.9 points per game on offense right now and allowing 96.7 points per game. Four players are averaging double figures right now, but Kawhi Leonard is the clear leading, scoring 25.6 points per contest while playing 33 minutes per game. LaMarcus Aldridge is adding 17.4 points per game.
The Heat have lost four straight games to fall to 2-6 on the season. They are also 2-6 against the spread and 1-2 ATS on the road. In this four game losing streak, three have been by 9 points or more. Miami has failed to score more than 95 points in these losses and they are averaging just 95.5 points per game on the season, which ranks 29th in the league. The Miami defense isn’t too bad, allowing just 98.5 points per game, which ranks fifth. The Heat are expected to be without Goran Dragic tonight. He is listed as doubtful with an ankle injury. Dragic averages 16.3 points and 5.9 assists per game right now. The team is led by Hassan Whiteside, who is averaging 17.5 points, 14.6 rebounds and 2.5 blocks per game.
The Heat aren’t a team that can score consistently and now are without their offensive quarterback in Dragic. San Antonio should be able to keep Miami to under 95 points while Leonard leads them to a scoring outburst tonight at home. The spread is lofty, but Miami is already struggling a great deal.
NBA DAILY PREDICTION: SAN ANTONIO SPURS -12