Warriors vs. Spurs Game 1 Pick
LINE MOVEMENT: The Spurs opened as 8-point favorites but the spread has been bet up to 9 at most online and Vegas sports books. As for the total, it opened at 201 and has jumped to 202.5, 203 or 203.5, depending on the sports book.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 56% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Warriors. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take the under. According to latest NBA trends, The Warriors are 1-6 Under last 7 vs. NBA Southwest, 3-9 Under last 12 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 6-16 Under last 22 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. San Antonio is 2-5 Under last 7 following a SU win, 1-4 Under last 5 on the road in series and 5-11 Under last 16 following a SU win or more than 10 points.
Golden State (51-37 SU, 48-39-1 ATS, 50-37-1 O/U) defeated Denver in six games, while San Antonio (62-24 SU, 43-41-2 ATS, 38-46-32 O/U) beat the Lakers in four games. The Spurs had over a week to prepare for this game. The Warriors shocked the Nuggets and they did it with defense. They held Denver to just 88 points in their last home game in Game 6 on May 2. They pushed the tempo in the previous games but the Spurs don't want to run with the younger Warriors, led by Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. They'll attempt to make this a halfcourt game and try to win just as they did in a 95-88 win on Jan. 18. Three of their four games in the series have gone under the total. Tim Duncan is still one of the best defensive big men in the NBA and will keep the Warriors out of the paint, while the Spurs defend the perimeter a lot better than the Nuggets do. Expect that trend to continue on Monday night. The Warriors visit AT&T Center in San Antonio to take on the Spurs at 9:30pmET on Monday
2013 NBA FREE PICK: WARRIORS/SPURS UNDER 203.5