Nuggets vs. Spurs Prediction
Can the San Antonio Spurs continue to dictate their series with the Denver Nuggets when the two meet up in Game 4 tonight at 5:30PM ET?
559 Denver Nuggets vs. 560 San Antonio Spurs
Sunday, April 20, 2019
5:30PM ET – AT&T Center
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Spurs are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -3.5 points against the Nuggets. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 208 points. The public betting for the contest has 67 percent going on the Spurs at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NBA Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Nuggets fall in Game 3
Denver was behind all of Game 3 in San Antonio on Thursday and ultimately lost by a score of 118-108 to fall behind 2-1 in the series. The Nuggets are now 55-30 on the season, 20-22 on the road, 43-42 against the spread and 48-36-1 with the under.
The Nuggets had really solid offensive numbers in Game 3, they just couldn’t make stops. Denver shot 42 of 81 from the field and an impressive 15 of 29 from the arc in the loss. Nikola Jokic put up 22 points with eight rebounds and seven assists to lead the way while Gary Harris had 12 points with seven assists and Malik Beasley added 20 points and nine rebounds off the bench.
Spurs ruling the series
San Antonio has really dominated most of this series, as a fourth-quarter letdown is all that is keeping them from a 3-0 lead. The Spurs are now 50-35 on the season, 33-9 at home, 45-38-2 against the spread and 45-39-1 with the over.
The Spurs got to the line 32 times in Game 3, which proved to be the key in the win. Guard Derrick White had a breakout performance as he scored 36 points on 15 of 21 shooting and also dished out five assists and had three steals. DeMar DeRozan was solid as well, scoring 25 points with five assists while LaMarcus Aldridge put up 18 points and 11 rebounds.
NBA Betting Trends
The Nuggets are just 1-9 against the spread in their last nine conference quarterfinal games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
The Spurs are 4-1 against the spread in their last five conference quarterfinal games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine against a team with a winning record.
This whole series has been about the Spurs and I think we are seeing the difference in coaches thus far. Gregg Popovich is running a clinic and I think that will continue tonight. San Antonio has been one of the best teams in the NBA on its home floor while Denver has a losing record on the road. It showed in Game 3 with the Spurs starting quick and controlling the lead for the whole game. Denver hasn’t proven it can win big games on the road consistently and it hasn’t proven it has what it takes to beat this San Antonio team consistently in this series.
NBA Prediction: San Antonio Spurs -3.5