Heat vs. Spurs Prediction
One game after beating the Warriors at home, the Spurs dropped a road contest at Charlotte on Monday. San Antonio will look to rebound when it hosts the Heat tonight at 8:30PM ET.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Spurs are 11.5-point home favorites versus the Heat while the over/under currently sits at 196 points. Miami is 41-29 on the year and 7-3 in its last 10 games, while San Antonio is 59-11 overall and 8-2 over its last 10 contests.
The Spurs have been fantastic for bettors when coming off a loss, covering in 15 of their last 18 opportunities. But LaMarcus Aldridge and Co. are just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games overall and have failed to cover in six of their last eight games versus a team with a winning record. The Spurs have dropped six of seven at the betting window when playing on only one day of rest as well.
Eleven-and-a-half points is a lot to lay against a Heat team that has covered in 10 of their last 14 games and is 5-1 against the number in its last six games when playing on back-to-back nights. Miami shot at least 50 percent for the sixth time in seven games in its 113-99 victory at New Orleans on Tuesday and thanks to Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade and Goran Dragic, the Heat's offense is operating at an efficient level right now.
Take the points.
WEDNESDAY NBA FREE PICK: MIAMI HEAT +11.5