Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction
Will the Dallas Mavericks be able to bounce back from a loss last night when they play host to the Denver Nuggets tonight at 8PM ET?
555 Denver Nuggets vs. 556 Dallas Mavericks
Wednesday, March 11, 2020
8PM ET – American Airlines Center
TV – ESPN
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, the Nuggets are the favorite on the road, as they are getting odds of -2.5 points. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 218 points. The public betting for this game is currently has 54 percent going on Denver as the road favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NBA Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Nuggets looking for a win streak
Denver has alternated wins and losses over its last seven games and is coming off a 109-95 win over the Bucks at home on Monday. They are just 1-3 against the spread in their last four games. The Nuggets are 43-21 on the season, 18-13 on the road, 29-31-4 against the spread and 33-30-1 with the under.
The Nuggets are putting up 110.6 points per game on offense this season while shooting 47.1 percent from the field. Defensively, Denver is allowing 107.4 points per game while opponents shoot 45.9 percent against them. The Nuggets are led by Nikola Jokic, who averages 20.3 points, 10.2 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game. Jamal Murray is adding 18.7 points and 4.8 assists per game.
Mavs fall in San Antonio
Dallas played last night in San Antonio and suffered a 119-109 loss on the road. The Mavs have lost two straight and are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games. Dallas is 39-27 on the season, 18-15 at home, 34-29-3 against the spread and 40-26 with the over.
The Mavericks are putting up 116.4 points per game on offense this season while shooting 46.3 percent from the field. Defensively, Dallas is giving up 110.5 points per game while opponents shoot 45.4 percent from the field. The Mavs have some injury issues at guard, with Jalen Brunson out and Seth Curry questionable. With this being the second game in a back-to-back, it’s possible we could see Kristaps Porzingis rested tonight. He averages 19.2 points and 9.5 rebounds per game. Luka Doncic is leading the team with 28.7 points, 9.4 rebounds and 8.7 assists per contest.
NBA Betting Trends
The Nuggets are just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a win.
The Mavericks are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as a home underdog and 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games against a team with a winning road record.
These two have met twice this season and the road team has won both games as an underdog. Neither team is inspiring a great deal of confidence in their play right now, but Dallas playing a back-to-back makes me concerned. They looked overwhelmed late last night against the Spurs and Denver is bringing a similar style of play and physicality tonight. I don’t think the Mavs are going to have their full compliment of talent either.
NBA Prediction: Denver Nuggets -2.5