Magic-Sixers' total set too high?

Magic vs. 76ers 2/23/16 NBA Picks & Predictions

The Magic will look to bounce back from a wasted opportunity against the Pacers on Sunday when they visit the 76ers tonight in what should be a low-scoring game for bettors.

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, Orlando is a 6-point road favorite versus Philadelphia for tonight's 7:00PM ET tip-off. As for the total, it opened at 210 at some books but is down to 209 at BetDSI.

Track spreads and totals for every game tonight at our NBA Odds Page

The Magic enter play tonight with a 24-30 record and are 30-23 against the spread, including 14-10 ATS on the road. Over their last 10 games, they've lost six games straight up but are 7-3 against the number over that span. The Sixers, meanwhile, are 2-8 over their last 10 games but have covered the spread in six of those 10 contests.

Prediction

The over is 5-1 in the Magic's last six road games and 21-10 in the Sixers' last 31 home games but there's reason to buck those trends tonight. In the last 10 meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia, the under has cashed eight times and is also 15-5 in the last 20 meetings overall. These aren't great defensive teams but both squads also rank in the bottom half in terms of offensive efficiency, as Orlando is 26th and Philadelphia is dead last. The total has been set too high for this matchup.

TUESDAY NBA FREE PICK: MAGIC/76ERS UNDER 209

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