Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction
Will the under cash tonight when the Spurs host the banged-up Mavericks at 7:00PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Spurs are 13-point home favorites versus the Mavericks after opening as a 14-point favorite. As for the total, the number hit the board at 197 and has been bet down a full point to 196.
Dallas has split over its last 10 games, going 6-4 against the spread over that same span. The Mavericks have won five of their last eight games despite losing 109-96 at Oklahoma City on Thursday. The team was without four of its top five scorers in the loss but Dirk Nowitzki will likely be back in the lineup after resting against the Thunder.
The Spurs have won seven of 10 overall but are coming off a 119-103 setback at New Orleans on Friday night. The loss came despite the Spurs getting Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker back from injury. The Spurs hve won the last seven meetings with the Mavericks, including a pair of games this season by a total of 12 points.
OUR PREDICTION: It's tempting just to lay the points with the Spurs given how depleted the Mavericks are, but I see more value in the total. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams in San Antonio and has cashed in eight of the last 10 meetings overall. The under is also 5-2 in the Spurs' last seven games versus an opponent with a losing record and is a perfect 8-0 in the Mavericks' last eight games played on Sunday.
SUNDAY NBA PREDICTION: MAVERICKS/SPURS UNDER 196