Warriors vs. Heat Predictions

Warriors vs. Heat Picks: Can Miami cover as double-digit home dog? 1/23/17

Can the Heat hang as a double-digit home underdog tonight when they host the Warriors at 7:30PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Heat are 12-point home underdogs versus the Warriors after opening as a 10-point dog. As for the total, the number hit the board at 217.5 and has been bet down to 217.

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The Warriors have won seven consecutive games and nine of their last 10. They've also covered in five straight games, including three times when they were a double-digit favorite. In their win over the Magic on Sunday, Kevin Durant posted his 17th double-double of the season, racking up 15 points, 10 rebounds, six assists, one 3-pointer, three steals, two blocks and one turnover in 29 minutes. Steph Curry was also went off, scoring 27 points with seven 3-pointers.

The Heat followed their four-game losing streak with a three-game winning streak, posting victories against the Rockets, Mavericks and Bucks, all of which came in Miami. Dion Waiters scored 33 points in the victory, while Goran Dragic added 25 points with six assists, one rebound and one steal. Following the victory, Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said Dragic is having a "career year."

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OUR PREDICTION: This is a good opportunity to grab the home underdog that is playing well. The Heat have covered the spread in four of their last five games and are 5-1 against the number in their last six games coming off a win. The Warriors, meanwhile, have been a bad bet when they play on back-to-back nights, as they have failed to cover in five of their last five games when playing on no rest. They're also 3-7 at the betting window in their last 10 road games.

 

MONDAY NBA PREDICTION: MIAMI HEAT +12

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