Heat vs. Bucks Prediction

Heat vs. Bucks NBA Predictions: Is the Total Set Too High? 1/17/18

Is the betting total set too high in Wednesday night's Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks matchup? Tip-off is set for 8:00 p.m. ET.

Who Oddsmakers Like: Milwaukee. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Bucks are 4-point home favorites to beat the Heat, who opened as 4.5-point road underdogs. The total, meanwhile, sits at 202 points after hitting the board at 205.5.

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Who Public Bettors Like: Milwaukee. As of Wednesday evening, 55% of betting tickets and 76% of the money is on the Bucks to cover the spread. As for the total, 65% of the betting tickets and 53% of the money is on the over.

Injury Report: Several players are listed on Miami's injury report including two starters: Tyler Johnson, who is out with a knee injury, and Dion Waiters, who will miss the rest of the season due to an ankle injury. Meanwhile, Jabari Parker (knee) remains out for the Bucks.

Who We Like: The under. In the last 11 meetings between these two teams in Milwaukee, the under is 7-3-1. In the last 22 meetings overall, the under is 14-6-2.

The under is also 4-1 in the Heat's last five games coming off a loss, is 17-6 in their last 23 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, and is 23-10 in their last 33 road games.

On the other side, the under is 6-0 in the Bucks' last six games, is 4-0 in their last four games playing on one day of rest, and is 10-3-2 in their last 15 games when a winning straight up record.

 

WEDNESDAY NBA PREDICTION: HEAT/BUCKS UNDER 202

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