Jazz vs. Wizards Pick

NBA Predictions: Is total set too high when Jazz play Wizards? 1/10/18

Should bettors be pounding the under tonight when the Utah Jazz battle the host Washington Wizards at 7PM ET?

Who Oddsmakers Like: Washington. According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Wizards are a 7.5-point favorite on the spread line. The total is set at 206 points. While the spread has remained steady at -7.5. the total has climbed from 204 points. 

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Who the Public Likes: Washington. As of Wednesday afternoon, 63 percent of public bets have been placed on the Wizards.

Injury Report: Jazz forward/center Derrick Favors is expected to play tonight despite a right ankle sprain. Point guard Raul Neto is out indefinitely with a brain injury and a bone bruise in his knee. Rudy Gobert is out until mid-January with a sprained PCL. Dante Exum is out indefinitely after shoulder surgery in October. For Washington, Otto Porter Jr. is expected to return from a sore hip and a back injury. Sheldon Mac is out for the season with a torn Achilles. 

Who the Trends Like: Utah is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in Washington. The under is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings overall and 5-0 in the last five meetings in Washington.

Who We Like: Utah plays at a faster tempo with Gobert out of the lineup, but its offense has been struggling to put up big point totals. The most points the Jazz have scored in the last eight games is 104, which coincidentally is the only win they have during that stretch when they topped the Cavs 104-101 at home. Washington has been playing some higher-scoring games recently, but many of them have come against teams with more fluidity on offense. While a lot of bettors are probably on the over, I'm actually trusting the two defenses in this contest and going with the under which has been the correct play the last five times in Washington.

NBA DAILY PREDICTION: JAZZ/WIZARDS UNDER 206

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