Ford 400 Picks

NASCAR closes out its season on Sunday with the Ford 400 from Homestead-Miami Speedway, which will also decide the 2009 Champion (ahem, Jimmie Johnson).

Bet the 2009 Ford 400

Jimmie Johnson has the Championship more or less locked up since all he really has to do is start the race and avoid a major incident. The problem is he couldn’t do that at Texas and wound up with a DNF. But even then, only two drivers are still in contention and they need a miracle to win the Championship if he falters.

Johnson has said many times this week he is going to race hard but we think different. His record here is not the best and we think this race offers some real value since Johnson is once again favored (even when he shouldn't be).

Jeff Gordon 8/1
We were a bit surprised to see such a generous price on Gordon this week since he has to win to have any chance of winning the Championship. With so much on the line, we think he will let it all hang out on Sunday. Gordon has a very good record here since this track was reconfigured a few years ago. He has three top fives and four top tens in his last five starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway. Since this is a must win for Gordon, we think that oddsmakers might have made a mistake on who should be the favorite this week.

Live Longshots
When it comes to average finish among the drivers at Homestead-Miami Speedway, you will see Carl Edwards (15/1) has one win and an average finish of 6.4, Greg Biffle (15/1) has three wins and an average finish of 6.8, while Kevin Harvick (25/1) has an average finish of 8.8.

All three of these drivers have a very good chance of winning when you look at their history here, but they all have one thing in common: Not one of them have won a race this year. Going on past history, all of these drivers are big overlays this week and with nothing to lose, one of them might find victory lane this week.

Bet the 2009 Ford 400

Posted: 11/18/09 11:05PM ET

Recent NASCAR Discussions

Nascar Top Stories

Thumbnail Ford EcoBoost 400 Picks The 2017 NASCAR Monster Energy Series wraps up its season today with the Ford EcoBoost 400 today. Which driver will...
Thumbnail Ford EcoBoost 300 Picks The NASCAR Xfinity Series waves the green flag on its season finale, the Ford EcoBoost 300 later today. Here are the drivers we like to contend for the...
Thumbnail Ford EcoBoost 400 Odds The 2017 NASCAR Monster Energy Series concludes in 2017 season with the final race for the championship, the Ford EcoBoost 400 today. Here’s a look at the odds for this...
Thumbnail Ford EcoBoost 300 Odds The NASCAR Xfinity Series wraps up its 2017 season on Saturday with the running of the Ford EcoBoost 300. Here’s a...
Thumbnail Can-Am 500 Predictions The 2017 NASCAR Monster Energy Series holds the final race before the Chase for the Championship finale when drivers compete in the Can-Am 500 today. Here’s our picks for this...

Nascar Headlines