Ford 400 Picks

NASCAR closes out its season on Sunday with the Ford 400 from Homestead-Miami Speedway, which will also decide the 2009 Champion (ahem, Jimmie Johnson).

Bet the 2009 Ford 400

Jimmie Johnson has the Championship more or less locked up since all he really has to do is start the race and avoid a major incident. The problem is he couldn’t do that at Texas and wound up with a DNF. But even then, only two drivers are still in contention and they need a miracle to win the Championship if he falters.

Johnson has said many times this week he is going to race hard but we think different. His record here is not the best and we think this race offers some real value since Johnson is once again favored (even when he shouldn't be).

Jeff Gordon 8/1
We were a bit surprised to see such a generous price on Gordon this week since he has to win to have any chance of winning the Championship. With so much on the line, we think he will let it all hang out on Sunday. Gordon has a very good record here since this track was reconfigured a few years ago. He has three top fives and four top tens in his last five starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway. Since this is a must win for Gordon, we think that oddsmakers might have made a mistake on who should be the favorite this week.

Live Longshots
When it comes to average finish among the drivers at Homestead-Miami Speedway, you will see Carl Edwards (15/1) has one win and an average finish of 6.4, Greg Biffle (15/1) has three wins and an average finish of 6.8, while Kevin Harvick (25/1) has an average finish of 8.8.

All three of these drivers have a very good chance of winning when you look at their history here, but they all have one thing in common: Not one of them have won a race this year. Going on past history, all of these drivers are big overlays this week and with nothing to lose, one of them might find victory lane this week.

Bet the 2009 Ford 400

Posted: 11/18/09 11:05PM ET

Recent NASCAR Discussions

NASCAR Auto Club 400 on Sun, Mar 2019 by Shazman
NASCAR: TicketGuardian 500 on Sun, Mar 2019 by Shazman
NASCAR: Pennzoil 400 on Sun, Mar 2019 by Shazman
NASCAR QuikTrip 500 Preview on Sun, Feb 2019 by Shazman
NASCAR: Daytona 500 Preview on Sun, Feb 2019 by Shazman

NASCAR Predictions & Odds

Thumbnail Auto Club 400 Predictions The NASCAR Monster Energy Series competes in California this afternoon for the Auto Club 400 at 3:30PM ET. Here’s some drivers we...
Thumbnail TicketGuardian 500 Predictions The NASCAR Monster Energy Series competes out West in Arizona today for the running of the TicketGuardian 500 at 3:30PM ET. Here’s some drivers we think should contend for...
Thumbnail Pennzoil 400 Predictions The NASCAR Monster Energy Series heads to Las Vegas today for the running of the Pennzoil 400 at 3:30PM ET. Here’s some drivers we...
Thumbnail Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 Predictions The NASCAR Monster Energy Series continues its 2019 season today with the running of the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 in Atlanta. Here’s some drivers we like to...
Thumbnail Rinnai 250 Predictions The 2019 NASCAR Xfinity Series continues its early stages of the season today with the running of the Rinnai 250 at 2PM ET. Here’s the drivers we like to contend for the...

Nascar Headlines