Yankees vs. Astros Pick

ALCS Game 6 Prediction: Can Astros stay alive vs. Yankees? 10/20/17

Will the host Houston Astros keep their season alive Friday night in Game 6 of the ALCS against the New York Yankees? Game time is 8:08PM EST.

According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Astros are a -147 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Yankees are a +127 underdog and the over-under is 7.5.

New York took a 3-2 lead in the series with its third straight home win Wednesday night, prevailing by a count of 5-0. The last 10 meetings this season have been split 5-5 and the total has gone over seven times.

The Yankees will turn to Luis Severino (14-6, 2.98 ERA), while the Astros counter with Justin Verlander (15-8, 3.36). Severino had a 1.04 WHIP with 230 strikeouts over 193 1/3 innings during the regular season. He surrendered one earned run on two hits with no strikeouts and two walks over four innings in a 2-1 loss at the Astros in Game 2. He has allowed seven earned runs in 11 1/1 innings this postseason. Severino is 8-5 at home with a 3.71 ERA in 97 innings this year. Verlander carried a 1.17 WHIP with 219 strikeouts in 206 innings during the regular season. He was outstanding in Game 2 versus the Yankees as he allowed one earned run on five hits with 13 strikeouts and one walk in a complete-game 2-1 home victory. He has given up four earned runs in 17 2/3 innings during the postseason. Verlander is 8-2 with a 2.45 ERA in 95 2/3 home innings this year.

In Game 5, Gary Sanchez went 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBIs to help lead the way. Didi Gregorius finished 2-for-4 with a double and an RBI. Greg Bird was 1-for-2 with two walks and an RBI. Chase Headley was 3-for-4 with a double and a run scored. Masahiro Tanaka allowed three hits with eight strikeouts and one walk over seven shutout innings to notch the win For Houston, Yuli Gurriel and Carlos Correa were both 1-for-4 with a double. Dallas Keuchel surrendered four earned runs over 4 2/3 innings to take the loss.

The under is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings in Houston, but the over is 7-3 in the last 10 overall.

Bet on Yankees vs. Astros

Verlander has been sensational as an Astro and it's difficult to imagine him not putting in another grand effort even coming off a complete game where he threw 124 pitches six days ago. Severino has been up-and-down and had an arm injury scare shorten his last start against the Astros. With Houston back in its home comfort zone, we like the hosts to prevail and force a Game 7.

 

MLB DAILY PREDICTION: HOUSTON ASTROS -147

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