Saints vs. Jaguars Total Prediction
The Saints will attempt to improve to 4-1 when they head to Jacksonville this Sunday to take on the Jaguars at 1:00 p.m. ET. With the number sitting at 44.5, is the total too low for the matchup or will it turn into a defensive struggle this weekend in Jacksonville?
Game Snapshot
259 New Orleans Saints (-1.5) at 260 Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.5); O/U 44.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 13
TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
Public Betting Trends
According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Saints are receiving 69% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.
New Orleans Saints Fantasy Spin
Michael Thomas caught 11-of-13 targets for 182 yards and two touchdowns in the Saints’ Week 5 win over the Bucs. The yards were the second most of Thomas’ career. He found the pylon for score No. 1 and shed a pair of tackles on the second. Drew Brees’ absence has yet to matter for the fourth-year pro, as he’s now caught at least nine passes in three of the past four games. He has remained ridiculously efficient in the process, hauling in a whopping 45-of-55 targets so far this year. Thomas has proven to be one of the most matchup-proof players there is in fantasy football. The Jags and maybe Jalen Ramsey are on tap for Week 6.
Jacksonville Jaguars Fantasy Spin
NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reports Jaguars TE James O’Shaughnessy (torn ACL) is out for the season. O’Shaughnessy had quietly averaged four targets on 67 percent of Jacksonville’s offensive snaps before suffering a torn ACL in the third quarter against the Panthers on Sunday. Now done for the year, the team will likely turn to third-round rookie Josh Oliver (6’5/249) in the interim. Geoff Swaim will continue working as the Jaguars’ primary tight end.
NFL Betting Trends
New Orleans
The under is 4-1 in the Saints’ last five games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Jacksonville
The under is 4-0 in the Jaguars’ last four games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Prediction
The under has been profitable in the Saints’ road games, cashing in four of their last five away from the Superdome. The under is also 7-3 in the Saints’ last 10 games played in October, is 7-3 in their last 10 games coming off a win and is 6-1 in their last seven games versus a team with a losing record. On the other side, the under is 6-1 in the Jaguars’ last seven home games, is 4-0 in their last four games versus an opponent with a winning record and is 5-1 in their last six games following a straight up loss.
NFL Week 6 Prediction: Saints/Jaguars UNDER 44.5