Brewers vs. Cardinals Pick
St. Louis is listed as a -160 favorite to win on the moneyline according to sports book Bovada.lv. Milwaukee is a +140 underdog and the over-under is 8.5.
On the mound for Milwaukee will be Junior Guerra (1-4, 4.90 ERA), while St. Louis will go with Luke Weaver (7-2, 3.23). Guerra has made seven appearances out of the bullpen since returning from injury. He has a 1.47 WHIP with 62 strikeouts over 68 innings. He has not give up a run in his last 4 1/3 innings out of the bullpen. His last start came on July 29 when he allowed no runs on one hit with four strikeouts and four walks in three innings before departing with an injury in a 2-1 home loss to the Cubs. Weaver holds a 1.13 ERA in 68 strikeouts over 55 2/3 innings. He was shelled for eight earned runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and two walks over three innings in a 10-2 home loss to the Cardinals his last start. Weaver has a 3.64 ERA in 29 2/3 innings.
Milwaukee has an 85-75 record and is 41-38 on the road, while St. Louis is 82-78 overall and 43-36 at home. The Brewers have won seven of the last 10 and the over-under is 4-5-1 in those 10 games.
On Saturday, Milwaukee won 5-3 to remain two games back of the Rockies for the second NL Wild Card spot with two games remaining. Eric Thames was 2-for-4 with a walk and an RBI. Travis Shaw went 1-for-3 with a walk and two runs. Domingo Santana finished 2-for-4 with a double and a run. Stephen Vogt was 2-for-4 with a home run and three RBIs. Chase Anderson allowed one earned run and struck out five in seven innings to get the win. Paul DeJong was 3-for-4 with a home run and two runs for the Cardinals. Jose Martinez hit a two-run homer. John Gant gave up four earned runs in five innings.
Weaver, aside from his last start, has been phenomenal for the Cardinals the last couple months. Guerra was ineffective as a starter earlier this season and will likely be on a pitch count here. St. Louis should figure him out fairly easily and Weaver is likely to get back on track after his blip on the radar earlier this week.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: ST. LOUIS CARDINALS -160