Reds vs. Brewers Pick
According to sports book Bovada.lv, the Brewers are a -215 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Reds are a +185 underdog and the over-under is 9.5.
The Reds will put Deck McGuire (0-0, 0.00) on the mound for his first career MLB start, while the Brewers counter with Zach Davies (17-9, 3.84 ERA). McGuire has made four appearances out of the Cincinnati bullpen and has allowed two hits and no walks with four strikeouts over 5 2/3 innings. He had a 2.79 ERA in Double A this year in 168 innings, with a 1.08 WHIP and 170 strikeouts. Davies has a 1.34 WHIP with 124 strikeouts in 187 1/3 innings. He gave up two earned runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and two walks in seven innings during a 5-3 home loss to the Cubs his last start. Davies has a 5.78 ERA in 16 home starts.
Cincinnati comes in with a 66-90 record and is 27-48 on the road, while Milwaukee is 82-74 and 42-36 at home. The Reds have won six of the last 10 meetings and the total went over in seven of those games.
The Reds have lost six in a row including a 5-4 home defeat Sunday against the Red Sox. Zach Cozart went 2-for-4 with a run, while Joey Votto was 2-for-4. Scooter Gennett finished 2-for-4 with a double and an RBI. Raisel Iglesias took the loss in relief. Milwaukee lost 5-0 at home to the Cubs Sunday as the NL Central foes split the four-game series. Keon Broxton was 1-for-3 with a stolen base. Chase Anderson allowed three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings to take the loss.
The Brewers are 1.5 games behind the Rockies for the second NL Wild Card spot with six games left. They are facing a 28-year-old career minor leaguer in McGuire and must take advantage. Bet Milwaukee here.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: MILWAUKEE BREWERS -215