Nationals vs. Phillies Pick
Oddsmakers at sports book Bovada.lv have made the Nationals a -160 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Phillies are a +140 underdog and the over-under is 9.
Gio Gonzalez (15-7, 2.68 ERA) will draw the start for Washington, while Philadelphia is going with Jake Thompson (2-2, 4.14). Gonzalez holds a 1.13 WHIP with 179 strikeouts in 191 2/3 innings. He allowed two earned runs on three hits with eight strikeouts and one walk over seven innings in a 7-3 win at the Braves. Gonzalez has a 3.01 ERA in 16 road starts. Thompson has a 1.60 WHIP with 30 strikeouts in 41 1/3 innings. He gave up one earned run on three hits with three strikeouts and three walks over five innings in a 7-5 win over the Dodgers his last outing.
The Nationals are 95-61 overall and 50-29 on the road, while the Phillies come in at 62-95 and 35-41 at home. Washington has won seven of the last 10 matchups, while the over-under is 4-5-1 in those games.
In the series opener Monday, Washington recorded a 3-1 victory for their third win in a row. Michael Taylor was 1-for-3 with a two-run homer and a walk to spark the offense. A.J. Cole allowed one earned run over 5 2/3 innings to get the win. Sean Doolittle picked up his 21st save. Odubel Herrera was 2-for-4 with a solo home run for the Phillies. Aaron Nola allowed two earned runs and struck out nine over six innings to take the loss.
Gonzalez has been rolling all season and even though his career numbers suggest regression, it hasn't happened yet. The Nationals are playing good baseball as the postseason approaches and they should be able to tee off on Thompson, who has proven to be very hittable.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: WASHINGTON NATIONALS -160