Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Red Sox are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -205 to win, while the Blue Jays are listed with a money line of +185 to prevail. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 9 runs. Boston has won five of the last six against Toronto coming into today.
Today’s pitching matchup has Brett Anderson (1-2, 6.17 ERA) on the mound for the Blue Jays while the Red Sox send Drew Pomeranz (16-5, 3.15) to the mound. Anderson is coming off an 8-run, 1.1-inning effort against the Royals at home last week. He has 32 strikeouts this season with 18 walks and a 1.81 WHIP. Pomeranz is coming off a 6.1-inning scoreless effort against the Orioles. He has allowed just three runs over his last 18.1 innings. He has 171 strikeouts this season with 66 walks and a 1.34 WHIP.
Boston is on a six-game winning streak right now with sweeps of the Orioles and Reds on the road last week. The Sox are now 91-64 on the season and 46-28 at home. Boston has a 5-game lead on the Yankees in the AL East with seven games remaining. The Sox are putting up 4.86 runs per game while allowing 4.03 per contest. The Sox are being led by Andrew Benintendi, who is putting up 19 home runs, 88 RBI and 26 doubles. Mookie Betts is adding 46 doubles, 23 home runs and 99 RBI.
Toronto is coming off a series win at home over the Yankees this weekend. The Jays are 73-83 overall and 31-44 on the road this season. Toronto is averaging 4.28 runs per game this season while allowing 4.87 per contest. The Blue Jays are being led by Justin Smoak, who has 38 home runs with 89 RBI and 28 doubles. Kendrys Morales has added 27 home runs and 82 RBI.
Anderson is coming off a really poor showing in his last start and he now has a 7.64 ERA in September over four starts. Pomeranz has a 2.66 ERA over four starts in September. He has been pretty consistent throughout the summer and is 3-0 against the Jays this year with a 1.93 ERA. I expect another great start from Pomeranz while Boston beats up on Anderson. The Sox are at -115 with a -1.5 run line. I feel good about the Sox chances to win by two or more today.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: BOSTON RED SOX -1.5 (-115)