Mets vs. Phillies Sunday Prediction
The Mets kept their wild card hopes alive by knocking off the Phillies and they’ll now look to make it three in a row at Citizens Bank Park when the NL East rivals wrap up their series on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball. Will the Phillies pull off the upset?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, September 1, 2019
7:05 p.m. ET, Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 59% of the betting tickets are on the Mets to beat the Phillies on the moneyline.
New York Mets Fantasy Spin
Todd Frazier went 3-for-4 with a double and two RBI as the Mets topped the Phillies on Saturday afternoon. Frazier drove in a run with an RBI double in the fifth inning then came around to score on a two-run double by Joe Panik. He also chipped in a run-scoring single in the ninth to cap of the scoring in the game. With the two-hit attack, the 33-year-old is now hitting .235/.308/.424 with 18 homers and 59 RBI on the year.
Philadelphia Phillies Fantasy Spin
Bryce Harper crushed his 29th home run of the season and swiped a base in a losing effort against the Mets on Saturday afternoon in Philadelphia. Harper got the Phillies on the board in the first inning with an RBI ground out. He then tagged Steven Matz for a solo shot on the first pitch of the sixth inning, trimming the Phillies' deficit to 5-2. He finished the day 2-for-4 and is now hitting .257/.373/.503 with 29 long balls, 97 RBI and nine swipes on the year.
MLB Betting Trends
The Mets are 13-3 in their last 16 road games when facing a right-handed starter.
The Phillies are just 1-6 in Zach Eflin’s last seven starts and are 1-4 in his last five outings at home.
Despite their issues with Eflin on the hill, I like the value in Philly tonight. The Mets beat the Phillies twice over the last two days but are still just 3-7 in their last 10 games against their NL East foes and are 2-6 in their last eight contests at Citizens Bank Park. The Mets have also dropped six of their last eight overall and are 0-4 in their last four games when facing a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Finally, the Phillies are 4-1 in their last five games coming off a loss and are 41-19 in their last 60 games when facing a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +105