Red Sox vs. Angels Free Pick
LOS ANGELES, CA (ATS Consultants) – This is the third game of a three-game series. The Angels won the first two games of the series. Jon Lester takes the mound for the Red Sox against Zack Greinke for the Angels. The opening pitch starts at 10:05pmET from Angels Stadium of Anaheim.
ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Angels as a -165 favorite over the Red Sox. The total is 7.5 in most books. The Red Sox come in with a 62-69 overall record and are 65-61 Over, while the Angels are 68-62 overall and are 62-65 Under.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Angels opened as a -155 favorite and moved up to -165 in most books. The total started at 8 and moved down to 7.5 in most books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 65% of public bettors favor the Angels. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: Take the Red Sox. According to the latest MLB trends, the Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 7-1 in Lester's last 8 starts as an underdog, 5-1 in Lester’s last 6 road starts and are 8-3 in Lester's last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 Thursday games,2-7 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series and 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Boston is a big dog with Lester on the mound. You get pretty good value in that case. Lester is 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last three starts. Zack Greinke is 2-1 with a 4.79 ERA in his last three starts and brings an overall ERA of 5.22 in the American League. Boston should steal a win here with their best pitcher on the mound.
THURSDAY MLB FREE PICK: BOSTON RED SOX +155