Orioles vs. Indians Prediction
The Cleveland Indians are an overwhelming favorite when they host the Baltimore Orioles tonight at 7:10PM ET. Can they be worth a wager?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Friday, August 17, 2018
7:10PM ET – Progressive Field
TV: MASN (Bal); STO (Cle)
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Indians are massive favorites, as they are getting odds of -380 to win. The Orioles are listed with a money line of +340 to prevail. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 9 runs. The public betting for this game currently has 81 percent going on Cleveland at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Orioles awful on the road
The Orioles have lost five of their last six games, but those were all at home. On the road, Baltimore is 15-45 this season and they have a 36-85 record. The Orioles are scoring 3.95 runs per game on offense while allowing 5.47 per contest.
David Hess gets the start for the Orioles tonight. He has made 11 starts this season and has a 2-6 record with a 6.25 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. Hess has 37 strikeouts and 24 walks over 59.0 innings of work this season.
Indians on fire
The Indians are coming off five straight road wins, including a sweep of the Reds in Cincinnati. Cleveland is now 69-51 overall and 37-23 at home. The Tribe are putting up 5.13 runs per game this season while allowing 4.04 per contest.
Cleveland has Carlos Carrasco on the mound today. He is making his 23rd start of the season tonight. Carrasco is 14-6 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. Carrasco has pitched a total of 136.1 innings this year and he has 155 strikeouts with 27 walks.
MLB Betting Trends
The Orioles have lost Hess’ last five road starts and 20 of their last 26 games following a day off.
The Indians have won 10 of Carrasco’s last 12 home starts against a team with a losing record and they are 7-2 in their last 9 games following a day off.
Picking the Indians to win straight up has little value, so if you are going to pick them, you have to go with the -1.5 run line. I think that is also still a pretty safe bet. The Indians are hitting the ball pretty well right now and get to face a struggling pitcher. Carrasco has allowed 1 earned run or less in five of his last seven starts and is facing a poor Baltimore lineup.
The Pick: Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-190)