Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction
Will the Boston Red Sox have any trouble at home with one of the league’s worst teams when they host the Baltimore Orioles at 7:10PM ET?
969 Baltimore Orioles vs. 970 Boston Red Sox
Friday, August 16, 2019
7:19PM ET – Fenway Park
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Red Sox are favored at home, as they are getting odds of -265 to win. The Orioles are listed with a money line of +215 to win, while the over/under total has been set at 11.5 runs. The public betting for the contest currently has 85 percent going on Boston at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Orioles swept again
The Orioles are coming off being swept in four games by the Yankees in New York this week. They have lost nine of their last 10 games. Baltimore is now 39-82 on the season, 21-39 on the road and 63-50 with the over. The Orioles have Aaron Brooks on the mound today. He is 2-6 on the season with a 6.35 ERA.
Baltimore ranks last in nearly every major pitching category as the Orioles have a 5.93 team ERA with a 1.50 team WHIP. At the plate, the Orioles are averaging 4.39 runs per game while batting .245 as a team. Trey Mancini is leading the team with 26 doubles, 29 home runs and 70 RBI. Renato Nunez has added 21 doubles, 26 home runs and 68 RBI.
Red Sox edge Cleveland
Boston is coming off a nice road series win over the Indians by taking the last two games of the series. The Red Sox are now 64-59 on the season, 30-32 on the road and 73-47 with the over. Boston has Rick Porcello on the mound this evening. He is 10-9 on the year with a 5.67 ERA.
The Red Sox are one of the top hitting teams in the league this season, averaging 5.72 runs per game while batting .275. On the mound, Boston has a 4.78 team ERA with a 1.37 team WHIP. They do lead the league in strikeouts with 1,237. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 43 doubles, 25 home runs and 94 RBI while Xander Bogaerts has 40 doubles, 27 home runs and 92 RBI.
MLB Betting Trends
The Orioles are now just 90-216 over their last 306 games and 42-114 in their last 156 road games.
The Red Sox are 12-5 in their last 17 series openers, but just 5-12 in their last 17 overall.
The Orioles are a mess and Brooks hasn’t been any good since coming over from Oakland. He has given up 22 earned runs over his last 16.2 innings of work. Porcello has had a rough year, but he often gets pretty good run support. That shouldn’t be any different today as the Sox face a struggling Orioles pitching staff that has been getting mashed in recent weeks. I don’t see that changing against one of the league’s better teams when it comes to run production.
MLB Prediction: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-150)