Mets vs. Pirates Prediction
The New York Mets brought up the bats in big-time fashion tonight to take down the host Pittsburgh Pirates. Will New York stay hot again tonight and win a fourth consecutive game?
Friday, July 27, 2018
PNC Park at 7:05PM ET
TV: SNY (NYM)
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Public Betting Information
According to oddsmakers, the Pirates are a -167 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Mets are a +157 underdog, while the total sits at 9 runs. As of Friday morning, 53 percent of public bets are coming in on visiting New York. Check out our MLB Public Betting Page for the latest info.
Mets bust out for 12 runs
New York has struggled offensively all season, but that wasn't the case in its series opener at the Pirates Thursday night as it rolled by a count of 12-6. Amed Rosario finished 2-for-6 with two runs and an RBI from the top of the order. Asdrubal Cabrera was 3-for-5 with a home run, two doubles, a walk and four RBIs. Michael Conforto was 1-for-5 with a double, a walk and a run. Wilmer Flores ended the night 2-for-4 with a home run, two runs and three RBIs. Brandon Nimmo was 1-for-2 with a double, three walks and a run. Jose Bautista went 2-for-6 with a double and a run. Jeff McNeil ended the game 1-for-2 with two walks and a run. Devin Mesoraco finished 1-for-3 with a walk, two runs and an RBI. Steven Matz picked up the win as he allowed four earned runs on three hits plus nine strikeouts and two walks over six innings.
Kingham gets crushed
Pittsburgh starter Nick Kingham allowed six earned runs on seven hits while striking out one and walking four over three innings in Thursday's loss. His ERA rose to 4.80. Jordan Luplow went 2-for-5 with a triple, a run and an RBI from the leadoff spot. Josh Harrison was 1-for-4 with a 2-run homer. David Freese finished 1-for-2 with a 2-run homer plus two walks. Adam Frazier entered the game as a sub and went 2-for-2 with two doubles, a run and an RBI.
MLB Betting Trends
The over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 New York road games. The Mets are 17-35 in their last 52 games on grass.
The over is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings. The Pirates are 7-4 in the last 11 meetings in Pittsburgh.
While the Pirates seem to have cooled off after their 11-game winning streak, facing Vargas should trend them back in the right direction. As you can see simply by viewing his ERA, Vargas has been dreadful this season. While outfielder Starling Marte could be out again, other hitters in the Pittsburgh lineup should feast on Vargas. Nova isn't exceptional by any stretch, but he's good enough to throw a gem here and there. Even if he is simply solid, that should be enough to get the job done here.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: PITTSBURGH PIRATES -167