Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction
Will the Boston Red Sox be able to cruise to a win at home over the Minnesota Twins when the two meet up tonight at 7:10PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Thursday, July 26, 2018
7:10PM ET – Fenway Park
TV: FSN (Min); NESN (Bos)
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Red Sox are favored at home tonight, as they are getting odds of -160 to win. The Twins are listed with a money line of +140 to prevail, while the over/under total has been set at 10.5 runs. The public betting for this game currently has 79 percent going on Boston at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Twins hard to figure out
The Twins were surprisingly swept at Kansas City this past weekend, but then followed it up with a 3-game sweep of the Blue Jays in Toronto. Minnesota is 47-53 overall and 18-31 on the road. The Twins are putting up 4.59 runs per game this year while allowing 4.71 per contest.
Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Twins on Thursday. He comes into the night with a 4-7 record through 20 starts. Gibson has a 3.57 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 121 innings of work this year. He also has 119 strikeouts with 48 walks.
Red Sox edged by Baltimore
The Red Sox are coming off a 7-6 loss at Baltimore on Tuesday, having Wednesday’s game get PPD by weather. The Sox have still won five of their last seven. Boston is now 71-32 overall and 34-13 at home. Boston is putting up 5.35 runs per game this year while allowing 3.72 per contest.
Brian Johnson makes the start for the Red Sox tonight. He has started five games this season and has appeared in 26 games total. Johnson is 1-3 on the mound with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. He has pitched 54.1 innings this year and has 47 strikeouts with 17 walks.
MLB Betting Trends
The Twins are surprisingly 13-3 in their last 16 games against AL East opponents, but they are just 8-20 in their last 28 road games.
The Red Sox have won nine of Johnson’s last 10 starts and they have also won six of their last seven against the AL Central.
Gibson has been pretty competitive on the mound this year for the Twins, but I don’t think he and Minnesota have enough to beat the Red Sox. Boston has an interesting starter today, but he has limited damage on the mound and he has a very strong batting order to support him.
The Pick: Boston Red Sox -160