Reds vs. Brewers Monday Prediction
The Brewers have seemingly righted the ship since struggling before and immediately after the All-Star break, winning five of their last six games overall. That said, will their troubles versus the Reds continue on Monday night?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Monday, July 22, 2019
8:10 p.m. ET, Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 74% of the betting tickets are on the Brewers to beat the Reds on the moneyline.
Cincinnati Reds Fantasy Spin
Phillip Ervin went 1-for-1 with a pinch-hit solo home run in Sunday's loss to the Cardinals. Ervin jumped on an Andrew Miller offering for a solo home run with one out in the eighth inning. That dinger drew the Reds to within 3-1 on the scoreboard, though they would be unable to come up with any further run-scoring action before the contest's conclusion. In 35 games this season, Ervin is hitting a sturdy .347/.413/.583 with two home runs and 10 RBI. We are talking about a sample size of 72 at-bats. Not a huge sample size, but no longer a small one, either.
Milwaukee Brewers Fantasy Spin
Tyler Saladino hit a grand slam in the fourth inning Sunday, leading the comeback as the Brewers bested the Diamondbacks 7-4. Few things in life are as unexpected as a Tyler Saladino grand slam. For some perspective, the 30-year-old was hitting just .102/.120/.102 coming into Sunday's game, and the home run was his first of the season. It wasn't cheap, though, landing a few rows deep in the seats in left field to tie the score in the fourth inning. The Brewers would go on from there to score the final three runs of the game. It was a nice moment but Saladino will remain a light-hitting utility infielder for the loaded Brewers, despite Sunday's heroics.
MLB Betting Trends
The Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 games on the road and 18-39 in their last 57 road games when facing a right-hander.
The Brewers have won five of their last six games overall and are 11-5 in their last 16 games when the opponent they’re about to face scores two runs or fewer in its previous contest.
Sonny Gray is 2-1 with a 1.65 ERA and 35 strikeouts over his last 27 1/3 innings of work but he’s winless in his last two outings because he hasn’t received any run support. Still, he’s made three starts this season against the Brewers and he’s 2-0 with a 1.96 ERA. Meanwhile, Chase Anderson allowed only one hit while issuing three walks over 5 2/3 scoreless innings last Wednesday against an excellent Atlanta team, but he’s 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two outings versus the Reds this season. Three of the five shutouts that Milwaukee has suffered this season has come against Cincinnati, which is 8-3 in Gray’s last 11 starts. The Brewers are also just 3-7 in Anderson’s last 10 outings versus the Reds. Despite being 3-7 over its last 10 games, I like Cincinnati getting plus odds.
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds +105