Phillies vs. Orioles Thursday Prediction
The surging Phillies and struggling Orioles will meet in Baltimore on Thursday night at 6:05 p.m. ET. What's the best play on the board for bettors?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Thursday, July 12, 2018
6:05 p.m. ET, Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: NYY (YES); BAL (MASN)
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Public Betting Trends
Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Phillies as a -109 favorite. As of this writing, 70% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Phillies to beat the Orioles on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Phillies' Pivetta struggles in no-decision vs. Pirates
Nick Pivetta was tagged for three runs (one earned) on five hits over 2 2/3 innings in a no-decision Friday against the Pirates. Pivetta struggled to find the strike zone, issuing a pair of walks, hitting a batter, and throwing just 45 of 74 pitches for strikes. He also struck out a pair of batters. Staked to an early four-run lead, the toxic combination of Pivetta’s wildness and the Phillies lackluster defense, led to his early departure in the third inning. The floodgates opened up shortly after Gregory Polanco reached on a dropped third strike, and a throwing error put him and Colin Moran in scoring position with one-out in the frame. Pivetta managed to coax an RBI groundout from ensuing batter Elias Diaz, but was chased after serving up back-to-back two-out singles to Corey Dickerson and Josh Harrison. The 25-year-old owns a 4.62 ERA with an impressive 106:29 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 89 2/3 innings this season. He’s primed to rebound with a tasty matchup against the Mets on the road next week.
Orioles' Gausman allows three runs vs. Twins
Kevin Gausman pitched decently in a no-decision against the Twins on Saturday, allowing three runs on five hits over his five innings of work. The right-hander punched out five on the afternoon while walking one. He made it through the first four innings unscathed, but the Twins broke through for three runs in the fifth, including a solo home run by Max Kepler. Gausman will carry a 4.11 ERA and 1.31 WHIP into Thursday's start against the Phillies.
MLB Betting Trends
The Phillies are 1-4 in their last five games in Baltimore.
The Orioles are 0-5 in Gausman's last five interleague starts.
The under has been an excellent play in this series, cashing in four straight meetings between these two teams. The under is also 5-1 in the Phillies' last six road games, is 13-3 in their last 16 games overall, and is 5-0 in their last five games versus American League East opponents. On the other side, the under is 7-2-1 is Gausman's last 10 home starts, is 15-6-2 in the Orioles' last 23 home games and is 21-9-1 in their last 31 games coming off a loss.
The Pick: Phillies/Orioles under 9