Brewers vs. Marlins Wednesday Pick

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins, 7/11/2018 Prediction & Odds

The Milwaukee Brewers and Miami Marlins split the first two games of their series and will play the rubber match on Wednesday night at 7:10 p.m. ET. After a high-scoring game on Tuesday, will the under cash in Game 3?

Game Snapshot & Odds

905 Milwaukee Brewers (-175) at 906 Miami Marlins (+145); 8 runs

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Marlins Park

TV: MIL (FSWI); MIA (FSFL)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Brewers as a -175 favorite. As of this writing, 80% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Brewers to beat the Marlins on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Brewers' Peralta holds Braves to one run in victory

Freddy Peralta spun six innings of one-run ball in Friday’s 5-4 victory over the Braves. Peralta was shaky in the first inning. He threw 30 pitches in the frame and gave up an RBI double to Ozzie Albies along the way, but a diving catch from Eric Thames prevented further damage. However, the rookie right-hander settled down nicely after that. He gave up just three hits on the night while walking three and striking out six. Peralta has really impressed in his brief major league career, posting a 2.14 ERA and 46/15 K/BB ratio in 33 2/3 innings over six starts. He should be active in all formats with a start against the Marlins up next.

Marlins' Straily logs quality start in loss to Nationals

Dan Straily logged a quality start in Friday's loss to the Nationals, surrendering two runs on five hits over his six frames. The right-hander walked three and only recorded one strikeout on the night. All of the damage against him came in the fourth inning, where Adam Eaton delivered an RBI single and Wilmer Difo followed with a run-scoring single of his own. Straily will carry a 4.55 ERA and 1.38 WHIP into Wednesday's start against the Brewers. He remains an underwhelming fantasy option.

MLB Betting Trends

Milwaukee

The Brewers are just 1-4 in their last five games when they play the third game of a series.

Miami

The Marlins are 1-7 in Straily's last eight starts.

Prediction:

The under is 47-18-2 in the Brewers' last 67 road games versus a right-handed starter, is 36-14-1 in their last 51 games when they're playing the third game of a series, and is 86-41-5 in their last 132 games versus a right-handed starter. On the other side, the under is 4-0-1 in the Marlins' last five home games versus a team with a winning record and is 4-1 in Straily's last five starts when playing the third game of a series.

 

The Pick: Brewers/Marlins under 8

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