Angels vs. Orioles Sunday Prediction

Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles, 7/1/2018 Prediction & Odds

The struggling L.A. Angels just needed a dose of the last-place Orioles because after struggling entering the weekend, they're on the verge of sweeping Baltimore. Will the Halos pull off the sweep on Sunday at 1:05 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

915 Los Angeles Angels (+105) at 916 Baltimore Orioles (-125); 10 runs

Sunday, July 1, 2018

1:05 p.m. ET, Oriole Park at Camden Yards

TV: LAA (FSW); BAL (MASN)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Orioles as a -125 favorite. As of this writing, 64% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Angels to beat the Orioles on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Angels' McGuire to start Sunday vs. Orioles

Deck McGuire will start against the Orioles on Sunday. McGuire was acquired from the Rangers for a player to be named later or cash considerations a little over a week ago, and he was recalled from Salt Lake on Thursday. A former first-round pick out of Georgia Tech, McGuire had an ERA of 3.22 over eight starts with Round Rock last year with 40 strikeouts in 44 innings. While he doesn't have elite stuff, he's an interesting risk against the awful Baltimore lineup for someone who wants to take a chance.

Orioles' Gausman holds down Mariners in last start

Kevin Gausman limited the Mariners to just one run over six innings Tuesday but had to settle for a no-decision. Gausman was locked into a pitcher’s duel with James Paxton, with Paxton having the edge in innings and strikeouts but Gausman ultimately allowing one fewer run. That lone tally came on a Kyle Seager solo home run, as Gausman yielded a mere five hits and a walk while whiffing four. Gausman was in line for his first win in eight starts before the Orioles’ bullpen blew it. He’ll take a 4.20 ERA into this weekend’s home matchup versus the Angels.

MLB Betting Trends

Los Angeles

The Angels have won just twice in their last eight road games.

Baltimore

The Orioles are 5-16 in Gausman's last 21 starts.

Prediction:

I'm not going to stop anyone that wants to fade the Orioles. They're awful and if you fade them today, you're getting plus odds with the Angels. But there are three reasons why I'm not going that route today. The first is that Gausman has gone three straight starts of allowing two or fewer runs. It's not like the Angels are facing a gas can today. The second is that McGuire was just rocked by Boston on Tuesday while allowing three solo home runs in four innings. Granted, Baltimore isn't Boston but the Orioles do have some pop. Finally, the Angels are a public team today. With over 60% of the betting tickets coming in on the Angels, I'm not going to hop on a public team, especially an underdog.

That said, I'm not going to back a bad Baltimore team either. Instead, the under is 4-1-1 in the Angels' last six games, is 5-1 in the Orioles' last six contests, and has cashed in 21 of Gausman's last 29 starts overall. I see the under as a better play this afternoon.

 

The Pick: Angels/Orioles under 10

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