Red Sox vs. Yankees Sunday Prediction

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees, 7/1/2018 Prediction & Odds

The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees will play the rubber match of their three-game series on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. With their ace on the hill, will the Yankees take care of the Red Sox tonight and win the series?

Game Snapshot & Odds

927 Boston Red Sox (+182) at 928 New York Yankees (-192); 8 runs

Sunday, July 1, 2018

8:05 p.m. ET, Yankee Stadium

TV: ESPN

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Yankees as a -192 favorite. As of this writing, 51% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Yankees to beat the Red Sox on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Red Sox Price goes six strong versus Angels

David Price tossed six innings of one-run ball Tuesday in the Red Sox’ 9-1 win over the Angels. Former teammate Chris Young took Price deep with a solo shot in the third inning, but that’s all the Halos could muster off the veteran left-hander Price yielded five hits and two walks on the night while punching out seven batters. The southpaw hasn’t given up more than three runs in a start since May 3 and his 3.66 ERA is the lowest it’s been since April. Price takes on the Yankees in New York on Sunday.

Yankees' Severino brilliant against Phillies in last start

Luis Severino fanned nine across seven shutout innings in the Yankees’ 6-0 victory over the Phillies. A Severino-Jake Arrieta might’ve been billed as a potential pitcher’s duel at first glance, but there’s a wide chasm separating the two hurlers at this point. Arrieta was knocked out after five frames, while Severino cruised through his seven innings in allowing just six hits – five singles – and no walks. The 24-year-old has looked like one of the best pitchers in the game again this season and has had few hiccups along the way. He’ll try to keep it going in a big matchup in the Bronx versus the Red Sox on Sunday.

MLB Betting Trends

Boston

The Red Sox are now 56-27 in their last 83 games overall.

New York

The Yankees have won 49 of their last 64 games at home.

Prediction:

Both of these pitchers have good career numbers against the opposing team. For example, Price owns a 2.96 FIP in 165 career plate appearances versus the current Yankees roster. On the other side, Severino has held the Red Sox to a .245 batting average in 163 career plate appearances and owns a 2.23 FIP over that time. That said, the Red Sox have not been profitable when Price faces the Yankees. They're 2-5 in his last seven starts against the Bombers and winless in his last four outings at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees are a bit overpriced on the moneyline but there's some value in laying the 1.5 runs on the runline.

 

The Pick: New York Yankees -1.5 (+110)

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