Brewers vs. Reds Saturday Prediction
The Cincinnati Reds are starting to cool off after such a hot stretch that saw them win nine of 10 games. Will the Milwaukee Brewers make it three in a row against their National League Central rivals when the clubs meet again at 4:10 p.m. ET on Saturday?
Game Snapshot & Odds
953 Milwaukee Brewers (-105) at 954 Cincinnati Reds (-115); 9.5 runs
Saturday, June 30, 2018
4:10 p.m. ET, Great American Ball Park
TV: MIL (FSWI); CIN (FSO)
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Public Betting Trends
Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Reds as a -115 favorite. As of this writing, 64% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Brewers to beat the Reds on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Brewers’ Chacin hammered by Cardinals in last start
Jhoulys Chacin was touched up for eight earned runs, nine hits and five walks with five strikeouts over 4 1/3 innings in a loss against the Cardinals on Sunday. Chacin threw just 52 of his 89 pitches for strikes, and he posted just 12 first-pitch strikes to the 27 batters he faced. He also set a season-high with five walks issued. His ERA jumped from 3.18 to 3.82 as a result of the poor outings, its highest mark since May 10. He’ll look to get back on track Saturday in Cincinnati opposite Tyler Mahle.
Reds’ Mahle posts no-decision vs. Braves in Atlanta
Tyler Mahle allowed three earned runs, five hits and four walks with five strikeouts over five innings in a no-decision Monday in Atlanta. Mahle threw 52 of his 91 pitches for strikes, including just 11 first-pitch strikes to the 23 batters he faced. He entered the game 3-0 with a 1.61 ERA over his first four outings in the month of June. The California right-hander had been doing a pretty solid job, and the Reds had won each of his past five outings, so he was probably due for a stinker. He’ll look to bounce back Saturday against Jhoulys Chacin and the visiting Brewers.
MLB Betting Trends
Milwaukee
The Brewers have won five of their last seven divisional games.
Cincinnati
The Reds are 9-3 in their last 12 games despite losing two straight.
Prediction:
The Reds have had success when Mahle pitches (they’re 5-1 in his last six starts) but it’s easy to see that a slide is coming. The Brewers are inexpensive on the money line and are 7-0 in their last seven games versus the Reds. They’re also 5-0 in their last five road games against Cincinnati and have won 10 of Chacin’s last 13 starts.
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -105