Reds vs. Braves Wednesday Prediction

Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves, 6/27/2018 Prediction & Odds

The Cincinnati Reds and Atlanta Braves will wrap up their series on Wednesday with a matinee at 12:10 p.m. ET. Unlike the previous two games in this series, will the rubber match cash the over for bettors?

Game Snapshot & Odds

901 Cincinnati Reds (+130) at 902 Atlanta Braves (-140); 8.5 runs

Wednesday, June 27, 2018

12:10 p.m. ET, SunTrust Park

TV: CIN (FSO); ATL (FSSO)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Braves as a -140 favorite. As of this writing, 81% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Braves to beat the Reds on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Reds' Castillo strikes out five in win over Cubs

Luis Castillo picked up his fifth victory of the season on Friday, limiting the Cubs to three runs on four hits over 5 2/3 innings. The hard-throwing right-hander whiffed five on the night and only issued one free pass. While he wasn't at his best, the Reds provided plenty of support for him. All of the damage against Castillo came during a three-run uprising in the fourth inning, capped off by a two-run homer from Kyle Schwarber. Castillo continues to torment fantasy owners with his inconsistency, posting a woeful 5.70 ERA and 1.40 WHIP to go along with his 81/32 K/BB ratio across 83 2/3 innings.

Braves' Newcomb holds Orioles to one run in last start

Sean Newcomb fired seven innings of one-run ball as part of a no-decision against the Orioles on Friday. His only mistake was a solo homer off the bat of Chris Davis in the fifth inning. Newcomb fanned three and walked a pair while lowering his ERA to 2.59 for the year. He’s allowed two earned runs or fewer in four out of his last five starts. The control has been better and he’s getting the ball on the ground more often, so we’re witnessing a solid breakthrough here. His next start comes against the Reds at home.

MLB Betting Trends

Cincinnati

The Reds are 8-1 in their last nine games overall and are 6-1 in their last seven games following a win.

Atlanta

The Braves are 25-9 in their last 34 games coming off a loss and are 16-5 in their last 21 Game 3 matchups.

Prediction:

The Reds are hot but have not been profitable when Castillo pitches for them. They're 1-4 in his last five starts overall and 1-4 in his last five road outings when he faces an opponent with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Braves are 8-3 in Newcomb's last 11 starts and 6-1 in his last seven outings when he faces an opponent with a losing record.

 

The Pick: Atlanta Braves -140

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