Yankees vs. Rays Sunday Prediction

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays, 6/24/2018 Prediction & Odds

The Tampa Bay Rays could surprise the masses on Sunday with a sweep of the New York Yankees at 1:10 p.m. ET. Is the under a safe play again for bettors when these American League East rivals wrap things up today?

Game Snapshot & Odds

969 New York Yankees (-129) at 970 Tampa Bay Rays (+119); 8 runs

Sunday, June 24, 2018

1:10 p.m. ET, Tropicana Field

TV: NYY (YES); TB (FS SUN)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Yankees as a -129 favorite. As of this writing, 65% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Yankees to beat the Rays on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Yankees' German strikes out nine over seven strong innings vs. M's

Domingo German limited the Mariners to two runs – one earned – across seven innings Tuesday in the Yankees’ 7-2 win. He gave up a solo home run to Nelson Cruz, but it was one of just two base knocks he permitted. German had his swing-and-miss stuff again in this one, whiffing nine over his seven frames while not issuing a walk. He boasts a 28/2 K/BB ratio over 19 innings across his last three starts, rebounding nicely from a rough four-start stretch. German will try to keep the momentum going Sunday in Tampa.

Rays' Snell pitches seven strong in beating Astros

Blake Snell worked around seven walks to limit the Astros to one run in seven innings for a win Tuesday. One of the walks was intentional. Despite all of the free passes, Snell threw just 102 pitches in seven innings. Justin Verlander, who also allowed only one run, needed 122 pitches to get through 6 2/3. Snell moved to 9-4 with a 2.48 ERA.

MLB Betting Trends

New York

The Yankees are 4-0 in German's last four starts when he's coming off four days of rest.

Tampa Bay

The Rays are 5-0 in their last five home games.

Prediction:

This is a tricky spot. With the Yankees listed at an affordable -129 on the money line, plenty of public bettors will line up to nab New York believing the team won't get swept. That's logical thinking. That said, over the past seven games, the Yankees' run differential (+3) isn't that far off from the Rays (+0), which is one of the reasons they've dropped the first two games of the series in the first place. Thus, I'm going to avoid the potential trap and once again recommend the under. The Yankees aren't swinging the sticks well right now and the Rays are light-hitting as a whole. Toss in a solid pitching matchup and this one has the makings of a low-scoring affair.

 

The Pick: Yankees/Rays under 8

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