Reds vs. Royals Wednesday Pick
The Cincinnati Reds pulled off the upset Tuesday night in Kansas City and are now favored Wednesday versus the Royals. After a low-scoring Game 1 between the two teams, will tonight turn into a high-scoring affair?
Game Snapshot & Odds
927 Cincinnati Reds (-125) at 928 Kansas City Royals (+105); 9.5 runs
Wednesday, June 13, 2018
8:15 p.m. ET, Kaufman Stadium
TV: CIN (FSO); KC (FSKC)
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Public Betting Trends
Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Reds as a -125 favorite. As of this writing, 66% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Royals to beat the Reds on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Reds’ Mahle allows three runs in last start vs. Rockies
Tyler Mahle allowed three runs — two earned — in five innings Thursday against the Rockies. This is pretty much par for the course for Mahle this season; he’s pitched exactly five innings in five of his 13 starts and he’s never lasted longer than 6 1/3 innings. He’s been adequate with his 4.33 ERA, but there doesn’t seem to be any mixed-league upside here.
Royals’ Hammel struggles in sixth inning of last start
Jason Hammel allowed four runs on eight hits over six innings in Thursday’s loss to the A’s. It wasn’t a disaster by any stretch of the imagination, just a mostly forgettable outing. Hammel was able to limit the A’s to just one run through the first five innings, but they would break through with more considerable scoring damage in the sixth inning. In that frame, Hammel gave up an RBI double to Matt Chapman and a pair of RBI singles, to Marcus Semien and Stephen Piscotty. Those three runs snapped a 1-1 tie and slapped another loss onto the veteran’s record, which now sits at 2-6 on the year. He ceded the mound to the bullpen to start the seventh inning, finishing his evening having struck out six and walked one. Again, not a horrendous start, but he’s dealing with an unsightly 5.24 ERA and 1.44 WHIP for the campaign at this juncture.
MLB Betting Trends
Cincinnati
The Reds are 1-5 in their last six games versus the Royals and are 1-5 in their last six games played at Kaufman Stadium despite winning last night.
Kansas City
The under has cashed in four of the last five meetings between these two teams.
Prediction:
Last night was a 1-0 game until the Reds scratched across a run in the ninth inning. They eventually won in extra innings after beating up Kansas City relief pitching to the tune of four runs in their 5-1 victory. I see the game tonight playing out opposite last night, with the matchup turning high-scoring. The over is 4-1 in the Reds’ last five road games and is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games overall. They’re swinging the bats well and neither starter tonight has been lights out of late.
The Pick: Reds/Royals over 9.5