Red Sox vs. Astros Sunday Prediction

Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros, 6/3/2018 Prediction & Odds

The ESPN Sunday Night Baseball game is a good one this week as the Houston Astros will host the Boston Red Sox in the series finale at Minute Maid Park. After back-to-back high-scoring game, will the under hit in the final matchup of the series tonight?

Game Snapshot & Odds

927 Boston Red Sox (+155) at 928 Houston Astros (-170); 8 runs

Sunday, June 3, 2018

7:35 p.m. ET, Minute Maid Park

TV: ESPN

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Astros as a -170 favorite. As of this writing, 63% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Astros to beat the Red Sox on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Red Sox' Porcello earns win over Blue Jays

Rick Porcello yielded three runs -- two earned -- in 6 2/3 innings Tuesday in a win over the Blue Jays. It probably would have been one run in seven innings if Porcello didn't decide to make a point and intentionally drill Russell Martin for calling a late timeout during his at-bat in the seventh inning. Martin came around to score, as did Kendrys Morales, on an odd player later in the frame, at which point Porcello came in. Porcello improved to 7-2 with a 3.65 ERA.

Astros' Morton notches fourth 10-plus strikeout game

Charlie Morton yielded a couple homers and three runs total but fanned 10 over six innings Tuesday in the Astros’ extra-innings loss to the Yankees on Tuesday. Brett Gardner led off the bottom of the first inning with a longball and Aaron Judge added a tater of his own in the fifth. The eight hits he gave up were a season high, but he walked just one and notched 10+ strikeouts for the fourth time already this season. That’s the same number he had in his entire career coming into 2018. Morton will carry a 2.26 ERA into Sunday’s home start versus the Red Sox.

MLB Betting Trends

Boston

The Red Sox are 1-4 in their last five games against the Astros in Houston and are just 2-6 in their last eight games versus the 'Stros overall.

Houston

The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams in Houston and is 5-2 in the last seven meetings overall.

Prediction:

I haven't fared too well in this series, losing the under on Friday and the Astros (who were expensive) on Saturday. For the finale, however, I do like the under. In his last 14 starts against a team with a winning record, the under is 10-4 when Porcello pitches. The under is also 11-5 in his last 16 road starts, is 20-6 in the Red Sox' last 26 games played on Sunday, and has cashed in seven of the last 10 road games. Meanwhile, the under is 9-2 in Morton's last 11 home starts and is 6-2 in his last eight outings when facing an opponent from the American League East.

The Pick: Red Sox/Astros under 9

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