Cubs vs. Mets Friday Prediction

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets, 6/1/2018 Prediction & Odds

After taking the first game of their weekend series in New York, the Cubs will look to make it two in a row versus the Mets at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday night. Are the Mets a good underdog play with Tyler Chatwood taking the hill for the Cubs?

Game Snapshot & Odds

901 Chicago Cubs (-110) at 902 New York Mets (+100); 9 runs

Friday, June 1, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Citi Field

TV: CHC (CSNC); NYM (SNY)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Cubs as a -110 favorite. As of this writing, 63% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Cubs to beat the Mets on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Cubs' Chatwood erratic vs. Giants in last start

Tyler Chatwood was erratic in a no-decision against the Giants on Sunday, issuing five walks over just 2 2/3 innings. The veteran right-hander threw just 46 of his 88 pitches for strikes in this one. He surrendered three runs on six hits while striking out three in the ballgame. All of the damage against him came in the first inning, where Pablo Sandoval delivered a two-out RBI infield single and Mac Williamson followed with a two-run knock. He'll try to get back on track when he brings a 4.10 ERA and horrifying 1.76 WHIP into Friday's start against the Mets in New York.

Mets' Wheeler allows four runs in no-decision vs. Brewers

Zack Wheeler allowed four runs over six innings Sunday in a no-decision against the Brewers. Jesus Aguilar was the thorn in Wheeler's side on this day -- he's been the thorn in pretty much every opposing pitcher's side lately -- delivering an RBI single in the first inning before bopping a three-run homer in the third. Otherwise, Wheeler kept the potent Brewers' bats mostly quiet, also striking out six while walking two. He's got an ugly 5.40 ERA and 1.48 WHIP that are a bit inflated by two poor starts, but Wheeler has actually been serviceable for many of his nine starts to date. That said, a date Friday with the Cubs brings no relief for the righty.

MLB Betting Trends

Chicago

The Cubs are now 4-0 in their last four games versus the Mets but have dropped eight of their last 10 in New York despite winning at Citi Field last night.

New York

The Mets are 2-6 in their last eight games overall and have dropped four straight versus the National League Central.

Prediction:

Chatwood owns a 4.55 ERA but it could be worse given that his SIERA is up over 5.00 (5.11 to be exact). He's not giving up much hard contact (30.0%) but his strikeout rate is below average (19.2%) and walks have been the biggest problem (14.3%). Wheeler, meanwhile, hasn't been much better but he's due for some positive regression with his ERA sitting at 5.28 but his SIERA at 4.36. That's not good, but given that the Mets are at home, are getting plus odds, and the Cubs have one of their worst pitchers on the mound tonight, I'll take a flier on the underdog.

The Pick: New York Mets +100

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