Padres vs. Nationals Tuesday Prediction

San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals, 5/22/2018 Prediction & Odds

After snapping their losing streak in Game 1 of the series, the Washington Nationals will look to make it two in a row versus the San Diego Padres on Tuesday night. Will the game once again be high-scoring for bettors?

Game Snapshot & Odds

903 San Diego Padres (+160) at 904 Washington Nationals (-190); 8.5 runs

Tuesday, May 22, 2018

7:05 p.m. ET, Nationals Park

TV: SD (FSSD); WSH (MASN)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Nationals as a -190 favorite. As of this writing, 81% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Nationals to beat the Padres on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Padres' Lauer allows four runs to Pirates in last start

Eric Lauer allowed four runs over 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision Thursday against the Pirates. Neither Lauer nor Pirates starter Chad Kuhl was sharp, and neither factored in the decision. Lauer has now had three subpar turns and two decent ones through his first five MLB starts, which equates to an 8.14 ERA and 2.10 WHIP overall. Things don't get any easier for the 22-year-old on Tuesday when the Padres cross the country to face the Nationals.

Nationals' Hellickson pitches well in no-decision vs. Diamondbacks

Jeremy Hellickson pitched well in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Sunday, surrendering just one run on three hits over his five frames. The veteran right-hander punched out five on the evening and issued just one base on balls. The only blemish on his night came on an RBI triple by David Peralta in the third inning. He has been brilliant in his first six starts with the Nationals, compiling a 2.20 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and 26/5 K/BB ratio across 32 2/3 innings.

MLB Betting Trends

San Diego

The Padres are just 1-4 in their last five games versus the Nationals overall.

Washington

The under is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams and is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in Washington.

Prediction:

While the under has been a great bet in this series over the last couple of years, I see value in the over tonight. Bryce Harper and the Nationals tuned up San Diego pitching on Monday night and I don't see Lauer giving them much trouble tonight. And while Hellickson has been fantastic for the Nationals, he's due for a negative regression carrying a .239 BABIP (suggesting at least part of his success this season can be credited to good fortunate).

 

The Pick: Padres/Nationals over 8.5

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