Marlins vs. Mets Tuesday Prediction
The New York Mets won again on Monday night, this time beating division bottom-feeder Miami in a 2-0 victory. Will the Marlins even the series on Tuesday when these NL East rivals meet again at 7:10 p.m. ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Tuesday, May 22, 2018
7:10 p.m. ET, Citi Field
TV: MIA (FSFL); NYM (SNY)
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Public Betting Trends
Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Mets as a -114 favorite. As of this writing, 75% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Mets to beat the Marlins on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Marlins' Smith struggles in last start vs. Dodgers
Caleb Smith was lifted after allowing four runs and walking four in three innings versus the Dodgers on Thursday. Smith walked three of the first four hitters he faced in the third, with the only out in that span coming on a Kenta Maeda sac bunt. He ended up allowing four runs in the frame, and the Marlins decided to pinch-hit for him in the bottom of the inning. Smith has shown impressive strikeout ability this year, but he's walked 23 in 42 2/3 innings and his history suggest control will remain an issue.
Mets' Wheeler crushed by Blue Jays
Zack Wheeler got lit up for six runs on seven hits over four innings Wednesday in the Mets’ loss to Toronto. Wheeler walked three and struck out seven while throwing 53 of his 81 pitches for strikes. As you can see from his stat line, the right-hander didn’t have his best stuff on Wednesday. Wheeler served up two homers in the loss including a two-run jack by Teoscar Hernandez in the fourth inning.
The sloppy conditions might be to blame for Wheeler’s struggles, though the wet weather at Citi Field didn’t seem to bother Toronto starter, J.A. Happ, who notched 10 punch-outs over seven shutout innings for his fifth victory. Wheeler will take an ugly 5.92 ERA into his next outing Monday against the Marlins.
MLB Betting Trends
The Marlins are now winless in their last four games against the Mets following their 2-0 loss on Monday night.
The under has cashed in four of the last five meetings between these two teams, including in Game 1 of this series.
I'm not in love with the side or the total in this matchup so I'm going to roll the dice on the underdog Marlins and bank on Smith bouncing back after a poor outing his lat time out. The Mets are 1-4 in Wheeler's last five home starts, are 3-10 in their last 13 games coming off a win, and have dropped four of Wheeler's last five outings coming off five days of rest.
The Pick: Miami Marlins +104